What Leverage Should You Use on Moon?
Short version: Choose leverage so your max loss price is at least 3 times further away than the price usually moves during the time you plan to hold. For Bitcoin that works out to roughly 65x or less for an hour-long bet and 13x or less for a day-long bet. 1000x only fits bets measured in seconds.
Why leverage is really about distance
On Moon, your bet closes at its max loss price, which sits 100% ÷ leverage away from your entry. At 10x that's 10%. At 100x it's 1%. At 1000x it's 0.1%. Leverage doesn't change how much you can lose (that's your wager). It changes how much room the price has before you lose it.
So the useful question isn't "how much leverage?" It's "how far will the price wander before my idea has time to play out?"
How much does Bitcoin normally move?
Price noise grows with the square root of time. If Bitcoin's typical daily move is around 2.5% (a reasonable figure for an ordinary day; it's higher in volatile weeks), the typical move over shorter periods is roughly:
| Holding time | Typical BTC move | 3× buffer | Max leverage by the rule |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 minute | ~0.07% | ~0.2% | ~500x |
| 15 minutes | ~0.26% | ~0.8% | ~130x |
| 1 hour | ~0.51% | ~1.5% | ~65x |
| 4 hours | ~1.0% | ~3.1% | ~33x |
| 1 day | ~2.5% | ~7.5% | ~13x |
Assumes ~2.5% daily volatility scaled by the square root of time. A rule of thumb for normal conditions, not a guarantee. On news days, cut these numbers by half or more.
Reading the table
If you think Bitcoin will be higher in an hour, 65x or less gives the price room to wobble against you first, which it usually does. At 500x that same hour-long idea is likely to be liquidated by ordinary noise before it has a chance, even if you end up being right about the direction.
That's the most painful way to lose on leverage: right call, wrong leverage.
Get 3.5% rakeback for life on Moon
Sign up with code 1000XGUIDE and get 3.5% rakeback for life.Adjust for the market
- Smaller, faster coins (SOL, memecoins) move more than Bitcoin: use less leverage than the table.
- Gold, major forex pairs and indices usually move less, so the same leverage carries less noise risk. But check the market's typical daily range yourself first.
- Single stocks around earnings can gap several percent in minutes, including outside market hours on Moon. Low leverage, or skip it. See our stocks guide.
Use Auto Loss as your real stop
Moon's Auto Loss setting closes your bet at a loss level you choose, before max loss. A common setup is lower leverage plus an Auto Loss you can live with. That beats high leverage where the max loss price is your only stop.
Try it with numbers
Put your entry price, wager and leverage into our liquidation calculator and compare the "move to liquidation" figure against the table above. Then practice the same setup in Moon's play money mode.
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